This is going around as a funny copy pasta, but a lot of people don't understand why Predictive Allocation is such a gam | Hanami
This is going around as a funny copy pasta, but a lot of people don't understand why Predictive Allocation is such a game changer for on chain LPs and $AERO.
Let's say you're an on chain LP and you think that oil is about to go crazy over the weekend because of rumours that the US will start bombing Iran.
You hop on to Uniswap and see that OIL/USDC has only been paying 30% APR because very little trading had occurred the week prior. The LP fees are backwards looking. You could deploy some capital now, but then you risk only getting paid higher LP fees briefly before wicking out of range.
Then you go over to @aeroxyz and see that OIL/USDC is paying 100% APR in $AERO emissions. The reason is because sAERO allocators are betting that the OIL pairs will have crazy volatility/volume on the weekend right alongside you, and so they've directed their votes to those pools predictively to capture that fee share.
But markets are efficient, so what ends up happening? LPs from UNI pull their capital and move it over to Aero until the rates normalize.
Aero enables emissions to be directed as a forward looking bet rather than displayed as a backwards looking snapshot. This means Aero will attract more liquidity when organic market forces deem it's actually needed, which means tigher spreads, which means more volume routed through Aero, which means more fees for sAERO stakers.
This advantage only gets magnified by more RWAs coming on chain when there are earnings reports and other pre-defined catalysts for volume. sAERO allocators have an economic incentive to dynamically adjust emissions to attract the deepest liquidity before it's actually needed; this is a mechanic that other AMM designs simply can't replicate.
Retweeted by @VelodromeFi from @koolkrypto223