$AXTI still the chokepoint of the entire optical buildout + demand for InP substrates will grow a lot.
They have LTA s | Hanami
$AXTI still the chokepoint of the entire optical buildout + demand for InP substrates will grow a lot.
They have LTA supply agreements to $LITE / $COHR and probably ends up #1 vs. Sumitomo Electric.
The main thing I'm watching is if they can pull a $SNDK style price hike. So far from some channel checks:
- Q2 2026: 50-60% increase
- Q3 2026: 10% increase
- Q4 2026: 10%+ hike
But from Coherent's SEC offering... it does look like there's a ceiling to how high % prices can go, which makes that case less likely.
We'll see how it plays out
Reply to @sillyuf08: @aleabitoreddit What about AXT?