Top Overnight News

Oil declined after President Donald Trump said the US would not attack Iran before November’s midterm elections, signaling a period of more than three weeks for no offensive military action against Tehran. BBG

Three Saudi Arabian citizens were killed and others were injured in two attacks on the main airport in the capital, Riyadh, on Thursday, Saudi authorities said, as the kingdom faces intense fire from the Houthis. BBG

Offshore US oil production is plummeting as Hurricane Isaias pushes toward a coastline dotted with refineries and chemical plants; Gulf producers have shut in some 1.3 million barrels a day, or 63% of output in the region. BBG

China is set to resume October refined fuel exports after a brief halt during its Golden Week holiday, four traders familiar with the matter said on Friday, a move that will help ease tight global diesel, gasoline and jet fuel markets. RTRS

Goldman's oil team estimates Brent's risk premium averaged $22/bbl in September, the second highest monthly reading on record, and sees upside risk to its price forecast if geopolitics keep the premium elevated for longer. GIR

OpenAI expects annualized revenue to surge to at least $70 billion by year-end from roughly $50 billion at the end of September, people familiar said, driven largely by its enterprise business. BBG

Bloomberg sources stated that OpenAI sees run-rate revenue reaching or topping USD 70bln in 2026 and that OpenAI annualised revenue was around USD 50bln at end-September. This followed an FT report stating that OpenAI's annualised revenue is about USD 20bln below what had previously been signalled. Newsquawk

Apple has told some of its suppliers to cut production of components for its newly launched iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, after soaring memory chip costs forced price increases that have dampened consumer demand. Nikkei

Masayoshi Son is seeking to raise up to $100bn from Gulf investors, as the SoftBank founder hunts for fresh financial firepower to scale up a colossal AI bet that has already made him one of the technology’s biggest champions. FT

Delta Air reduced its full-year earnings outlook due to high jet fuel prices stemming from the war in the Middle East. BBG

Chinese stocks staged a sharp rebound, lifting all benchmarks into the green, with investors citing speculation that regulators have advised funds and insurers to limit sell orders. BBG

Japan is eyeing as much as $44.3 billion of unused government funds to free up resources for Sanae Takaichi’s policy priorities. Household spending fell for a ninth month. BBG

Flávio Bolsonaro has 52% support in the runoff against President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s 48%, a Datafolha poll showed. BBG

The US government is launching investigations into the use of foreign exchange visa programs at nine top colleges including Harvard, Stanford and MIT. BBG

The Trump administration accused Microsoft, Adobe and others of abusing a US worker visa program and suspended them indefinitely from a longstanding immigration initiative. BBG

Elon Musk’s SpaceX acquired low-band spectrum to enable its Starlink satellites to become a “major mobile carrier” in the US, sending incumbent carriers lower and tower stocks higher. BBG

A further sharp rise in 10-year Treasury yields is “feasible” as hedge funds and other investors are forced to ditch losing bets on bonds, Pimco CIO Dan Ivascyn said. FT

Fed Governor Waller said he anticipates “additional hikes”, though further hikes “do not need to come at consecutive meetings”. BBG

ECB President Lagarde told euro-area finance ministers the ECB has instruments to deal with unwarranted and disorderly market dynamics. BBG

Money market funds saw their biggest inflow since April 2020 in the week to Oct. 7, according to Bank of America strategists. BBG

EU to assess a windfall tax on energy firms to soften the price shock. BBG

Zelenskyy said Ukraine hit the Omsk and Ukhta oil refineries in Russia. BBG(Historical earnings: For 2026Q2 (period ended 2026-03-28), Apple reported basic EPS of 4.87, diluted EPS of 4.85, and net income of USD 71.675 billion. In the prior-year 2026Q2 period (ended 2025-03-29), basic EPS was 4.06, diluted EPS was 4.05, and net income was USD 61.110 billion. For 2026Q1 (period ended 2025-12-27), basic EPS was 2.85, diluted EPS was 2.84, and net income was USD 42.097 billion, compared with 2026Q1 prior-year period (ended 2024-12-28) basic EPS of 2.41, diluted EPS of 2.4, and net income of USD 36.330 billion. Consensus expectations: For 2026Q4 (event date 2026-11-02), consensus EPS estimate is 2.0214 and revenue estimate is USD 115.327 billion. For 2027Q1 (event date 2027-01-27), consensus EPS estimate is 2.9512 and revenue estimate is USD 156.464 billion.)